Government policy, not the Bank of England will determine future interest rate hikes

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Finance chiefs will discuss a new AI cyber threat by an Anthropic model. Today’s inflation data does not two troubling risk on the horizons: a renewed surge in global energy prices and the upcoming ...

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Today’s inflation data does not two troubling risk on the horizons: a renewed surge in global energy prices and the upcoming ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cityam.com/government-policy-not-the-bank-of-england-will-determine-future-interest-rate-hikes/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cityam_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Government policy, not the Bank of England will determine future interest rate hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGovernment policy, not the Bank of England will determine future interest rate hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-09-16 18:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cityam.com/government-policy-not-the-bank-of-england-will-determine-future-interest-rate-hikes/><strong>cityam</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Finance chiefs will discuss a new AI cyber threat by an Anthropic model. Today’s inflation data does not two troubling risk on the horizons: a renewed surge in global energy prices and the upcoming ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cityam.com/government-policy-not-the-bank-of-england-will-determine-future-interest-rate-hikes/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DBE","symbol_name":"能源商品ETF-PowerShares","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.cityam.com/government-policy-not-the-bank-of-england-will-determine-future-interest-rate-hikes/","article_id":"2667600974","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"cityam_highlight","url":"https://www.cityam.com/government-policy-not-the-bank-of-england-will-determine-future-interest-rate-hikes/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2667600974","pubTimestamp":1789554421,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"cityam_highlight","name":"cityam"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Finance chiefs will discuss a new AI cyber threat by an Anthropic model. Today’s inflation data does not two troubling risk on the horizons: a renewed surge in global energy prices and the upcoming Budget, says William NixonThis morning’s inflation data came in close to market expectations, with headline inflation rising to 3.1 per cent in August from 2.9 per cent in July. Compositionally, the increase was driven by higher motor fuel prices, with core inflation remaining stable at 2.6 per cent.Combined with the soft labour market data released on Tuesday, which showed an ongoing contraction in monthly payrolls, the Bank of England is unlikely to hike rates tomorrow.But it’s far too soon for mortgage holders to breathe a sigh of relief. Even if rates remain unchanged tomorrow, governor Bailey is likely to signal a low bar for rate hikes at upcoming meetings, including as soon as November.The pivot will reflect two troubling risks on the horizon not captured in today’s data: a renewed su","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"cityam.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DBE":"能源商品ETF-PowerShares","DFUV":"DIMENSIONAL US MARKETWIDE VALUE ETF","CDC":"VictoryShares US EQ Income Enhanced Volatility Wtd ETF","CGDV":"Capital Group Dividend Value ETF","CGUS":"Capital Group Core Equity ETF","FLGB":"Franklin FTSE United Kingdom ETF","GUSH":"Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. 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Today’s inflation data does not two troubling risk on the horizons: a renewed surge in global energy prices and the upcoming Budget, says William NixonThis morning’s inflation data came in close to market expectations, with headline inflation rising to 3.1 per cent in August from 2.9 per cent in July. Compositionally, the increase was driven by higher motor fuel prices, with core inflation remaining stable at 2.6 per cent.Combined with the soft labour market data released on Tuesday, which showed an ongoing contraction in monthly payrolls, the Bank of England is unlikely to hike rates tomorrow.\n\nBut it’s far too soon for mortgage holders to breathe a sigh of relief. Even if rates remain unchanged tomorrow, governor Bailey is likely to signal a low bar for rate hikes at upcoming meetings, including as soon as November.The pivot will reflect two troubling risks on the horizon not captured in today’s data: a renewed surge in global energy prices and the upcoming Budget.\n\n\n\n\n\n\nFree Thinking - City AM Opinion Newsletter\nGet weekly sparky insight and expert commentary on markets, entrepreneurship and innovation from City AM’s Opinion Editor, delivered every Saturday.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nOn the first risk, global energy prices have surged higher over recent weeks alongside renewed tensions in the Middle East. Separate to ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the Iran-aligned Houthi group’s recent expansion along Yemen’s west coast has raised concerns about Saudi Arabia’s ability to reroute oil exports through the Red Sea. Key pipeline infrastructure that links Saudi Arabia’s oil fields to export terminals in the Red Sea was also damaged in a drone attack.\n\nThe disruptions have seen global oil prices rise around 20 per cent since the end of August, with the Brent benchmark trading above $100 a barrel for the first time since May. Natural gas prices have also risen sharply, with wholesale gas prices in the UK doubling since July and rising above £2 per therm for the first time since 2022.And as we saw in 2022, higher global gas prices don’t just increase the cost of gas-fired central heating in UK homes. They also increase the price of wholesale electricity in the UK given the grid’s reliance on gas-fired power plants to balance supply and demand.While it is difficult to give an exact estimate, a sustained increase in global gas and oil prices could see UK households’ combined energy bills rise by 20 per cent to 25 per cent in early 2027 once default tariffs reset. This would directly add around 1ppt to headline inflation and keep overall inflation above 3 per cent through 2027 – well above the Bank’s most recent forecast of around 2 per cent.\n\nHigher gas and electricity prices will also push up businesses’ costs and – as we saw in 2022 – could lead to ‘second round effects’ on inflation as firms increase their retail prices to maintain profit margins. These ‘second round effects’ may be more muted now relative to 2022 given that the weaker real economy makes it harder for firms to pass on costs. But like several peer central banks over recent weeks, including the European Central Bank and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the Bank may take a pre-emptive approach to tightening rather than waiting to see if these risks materialise.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}