10-Year JGB Yield at 3% Attractive if BOJ Terminal Rate Capped at 2%
Dow Jones
Sep 18
0637 GMT - If Japan's inflation settles near 2%, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield of 3% seems reasonable, says Citi Research strategist Tomohisa Fujiki. "Yields could rise further, depending on future rate hikes and crude price dynamics," he says. "However, if the policy rate does not rise above 2%, a 3% yield should be attractive for real money investors," he adds. While the market is expected to price in roughly quarterly rate hikes for the time being, Japan's terminal rate is likely to be capped at or below 2%, Fujiki says. The 10-year JGB yield is last down 1.5 basis points at 2.975%.
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