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But even the past isn't as clear as it seems.Sure, we know how prices have moved. Figuring out why they moved is crucial to having any hope of accurate predictions. And it's much harder to be sure than it seems-even in Treasury bonds, the foundation of pricing for almost everything.This year's move in long-dated bond yields is a case in point. Treasury yields are up sharply, with the benchmark 10-year rising from 4.17% to just above 5% before pulling back a bit.Did they rise so much because the economy is strong, jobs are plentiful and money is pouring into the artificial-intelligence sector?Interest rates need to be higher to keep the resulting inflationary pressures under control, and traders extrapolate out higher rates for longer into higher bond yields.Or did yields rise because America's credibility is on the line?","market":"nz","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":null,"symbols":["VTV","SDOG","CGVV","PRVS","BKDV","US7Y.BOND","DIVZ","EQRR","US6M.BOND","MDLV","US3Y.BOND","CGUI","DFUV","MAPP","US10Y.BOND","BSR","IMCG","ILCV","FLXI","CGUS","DECU","MODL","SAMT","HIDV","LCG","CDC","EES","ACM","PLGI","SPCT","US12M.BOND","FLV","CGDV","CLIX","FT","BNDW","AGGZ","KLCD","IUS","RULE","JPIE","LGH","ARP","US2Y.BOND","US30Y.BOND","FXD","US5Y.BOND","BAMA","ADPV","ESLV"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"1190229492","title":"BofA Warns Markets Underprice Peak of Fed Rate Cycle, Two-Year Treasury Yields Poised to Rise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190229492","media":"Deep News","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190229492?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-09-20 13:16","pubTimestamp":1789881371,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Bank of America strategists have cautioned that investors need to brace for the possibility that the Federal Reserve could lift its benchmark interest rate above 5%, according to a Bloomberg report....","market":"hk","thumbnail":"","type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":null,"symbols":["FNGS","HAPR","BBIB","LQD","JUNW","BXMX","TLH","OBIL","SHV","SPXL","FAZ","SHY","BWZ","FFA","YSPY","BK4535","TBIL","HMOP","BIL","BUFD","GBIL","TIP","TRTY","PBDC","HEQ","EQTY","SPYU","LQDD","USHY","WAMA","TNmain","KRE","CAIE","FLV","PSMR","VEXC","QCJA","VCSH","EBUF","BOND","UUP","SVOL","AGG","ILCB","GOVT","SKRE","BK4196","SSO","RAUS","JPST","ZTmain","EIM","IGOV","TMF","ZFmain","GOVM","LIAJ","AESR","HIBL","GSUS","ONEO","IEI","BK4588","UBT","VAIE","SPIN","OOQB","TSYX","VFH","STOX","FDRR","TPAY","MUNX","DPST","TFJL","LDER","NELS","MYCN","MSLC","EDV","AAUA","VGLT","QB","SPYI","OEF","UDN","US12M.BOND","ACLC","EXEQ","TDAX","MPAY","TYO",".SPX","FLGV","SPYQ","SPUU","MAYU","VGIT","ZNmain","BK4550","UJAN","VCIT","SDS","FEX","GOLY","DBND","MBCE","TLTW","XNTK","KSPY","SPDN","IBTB","BBSB","BWX","IYY","UTES","US6M.BOND","IAT","NYSX","SGOV","BUFT","PBSE","RECI","TLT","TLTI","SAMM","BBUS","SH","EQL","IBTL","SCHO","SPYT","SPXS","BSV","OAKM","QJN","XBIL","BND","FMTM","DYNF","BBLB","XSPI","SCDL","EBND","JMOM","CIVG","MMAR","SPHQ","XLRI","ZBmain","RSSY","UPRO","FFLG","US30Y.BOND","GVLE","EMPB","NGHT","HYGD","SIXA","VTHR","US10Y.BOND","CPNQ","OCDB","US7Y.BOND","GSLC","US5Y.BOND","IEF","KBWB","IUS","BK4559","MMAX","BOXX","KHPI","UBmain","SPY","FNDX","ISHG","HYG","KRX","JULD","PBJA","MESmain","NEMD","XYLG","GQI","DMAX","SPYB","BK4585","VOO","XLF","XXV","MUB","US2Y.BOND","US3Y.BOND","FEM","BK4504","ESmain","QBQF","SPXU","BSTP","TLTX","USPX","MFMO","IVV","VTG","RSEE","BK4581","BKLG","BMVP","HYGU","BK4561","HAWG","CPSM","VGSH","EDGE","SPYM","OEX","SCLZ","CPNM","SPYH","ALTL","SCHX","FTA","STRV","TSYW","WBIL","TBT","MBOX","MTUL","VFMO","HK0000934320.USD","LQDU","MRCP","XLUX","XVOL","KBE","ZROZ","TBJL","MINT","BK4534","SMAX"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0},{"id":"2668897676","title":"Market View","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2668897676","media":"Dow Jones","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2668897676?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-09-19 07:28","pubTimestamp":1789774080,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"This commentary was issued recently by money managers, research firms, and market newsletter writers and has been edited by Barron's.Why Cash Won't Cut ItUBS House View - Daily US  UBS  Sept. 18: Cash may not meet long-term return needs. By definition, a portfolio needs to earn a return equal to inflation to maintain its purchasing power. If it must also fund withdrawals, taxes, or a longer-than-expected lifetime, a meaningful positive real return is likely required. In our view, cash is unlikely to meet that hurdle over the long term. Even today's high cash yields are partly offset by inflation and, in many jurisdictions, taxation. We also don't expect the current unusually high real cash rates to persist indefinitely. We estimate the long-run pretax real return on cash at just 0.7%. 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Exclusively on Dow Jones Newswires at 4:20 ET, 12:20 ET and 16:50 ET.1357 ET - Hyperliquid's HYPE token rises 6.7% to $90.83 after the exchange ann","market":"nz","thumbnail":null,"type":0,"news_type":0,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"property":[],"language":"en","translate_title":"","themeId":null,"theme_name":"","theme_type":"","isJumpTheme":false,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_publish_highlight":false,"source_rank":0,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_top_title":null,"news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"length":0,"strategy_id":0,"source":null,"symbols":["BAMA","IUS","RMIF","ARP","IMCG","LCG","MODL","CDC","FITZ","CGUI","REMC","CLIX","DIVZ","VOTE","CGUS","ILCV","VTV","ADPV","SKRE","FXD","MDLV","HIDV","ESLV","CGVV","MAPP","FLV","CGDV","BSR","BKDV","SAMT","DFUV","VXZ","FLXI","PSC","EES","XOEX","RHTX","PLGI","DECU","RULE","LGH","FT","EQRR","REGL","TEQI","TCTL","PMDE","PRVS","AGGZ","SDOG"],"isVideo":false,"video":null,"gpt_icon":0}],"pageSize":4,"totalPage":59,"pageCount":1,"totalSize":235,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}],"@#url:\"https://hq.skytigris.cn/market/plate/belongs/IUS\",params:#limit:6,delay:false,,,undefined,":[]}}